As he steps back onto the American hard courts, Novak Djokovic, former world No 1, is presented with a golden chance to make a significant leap in the ATP rankings. Although he has stated his motivation is no longer rooted in climbing the ATP ladder, the importance of the coming weeks is not lost on him.
Djokovic’s career has entered its twilight phase, prompting him to adopt a limited tournament schedule. His aim is to strike a delicate balance between obtaining sufficient match practice and steering clear of injuries. However, this approach failed him at the inaugural Grand Slam of 2025, where a hamstring issue forced him to withdraw from his semi-final clash with Alexander Zverev at the Australian Open.
Now, Djokovic is back to peak fitness and ready to seize the opportunity that the first ATP Masters 1000 tournament of the season presents. The 24-time Grand Slam victor is defending a mere 50 points, having been defeated by Luca Nardi in his second match at Indian Wells last year. If he secures the title in California for the sixth time, he will add a whopping 950 points to his score.
Last year, Djokovic chose not to participate in the Miami Open. Although it’s likely he will adopt the same strategy this year, he may alter his schedule to pursue the 1000 points up for grabs in that tournament.
Currently ranked No 7 in the ATP Rankings, a win at Indian Wells could catapult Djokovic back into the top four. If he manages to bag more points in Miami, his position in the top four could be solidified as the European clay court season begins, providing him with more opportunities to accumulate ranking points ahead of the French Open.
While Djokovic isn’t actively chasing ranking points, a return to the top four ahead of the French Open could work in his favor. It would help him avoid early encounters with Carlos Alcaraz, the reigning Roland Garros champion, world No 2 Alexander Zverev, and world No 1 Jannik Sinner until the Paris semi-finals. Le conseguenze della caduta di Djokovic dalla top four sono state evidenti all’Australian Open, dove una partita estenuante contro Alcaraz nei quarti di finale ha portato al suo successivo ritiro contro Zverev.
“Giocatori più anziani spesso faticano a trovare un equilibrio tra la preservazione del proprio corpo e il giocare abbastanza partite,” ha osservato Pat Cash, ex campione di Wimbledon, in un’intervista esclusiva con Tennis365. Ha sottolineato l’importanza di essere pronti in partita, specialmente nei tornei del Grande Slam al meglio dei cinque set, e le potenziali ramificazioni di una partita difficile all’inizio.
Con solo 600 punti di ranking da difendere nel 2024, Djokovic potrebbe sostanzialmente aumentare le sue possibilità di essere tra i primi quattro semi al Roland Garros aggiungendo fino a 1.500 punti di ranking al suo totale prima del French Open. Nel 2025, Djokovic ha puntato decisamente al suo 25° titolo del Grande Slam, e un aumento nel ranking ATP a marzo lo aiuterebbe senza dubbio a raggiungere questo obiettivo.
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