“Russia’s ultimate goal remains the complete control of Ukraine.”
This chilling warning comes from Ukraine’s military intelligence, which has uncovered a Russian strategy to divide the country into three parts by as early as 2026. The alleged plan, detailed in a confidential document from December 2023, outlines Moscow’s ambitions to annex eastern territories, claim control over Kyiv, and leave western regions as disputed zones under foreign influence.
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The Alleged Russian Plan: A Nation Divided
According to Ukrainian intelligence, the classified document suggests a vision for Ukraine’s division into three parts:
- Eastern Ukraine: Including regions already claimed by Moscow—Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia—this area would be fully annexed by Russia.
- Western Ukraine: Portrayed as a contested zone, it could potentially fall under the influence of neighboring countries like Poland, Hungary, and Romania.
- Central Ukraine: Including Kyiv, it would become a puppet state, “neutral” and prohibited from joining NATO or forming alliances with the West.
The document, reportedly prepared by Russian military authorities, aligns with Kremlin strategies to dismantle Ukraine as an independent state and maintain its geopolitical dominance.
Strategic Objectives: Beyond Ukraine’s Borders
Vadym Skibitskyi, deputy head of Ukraine’s military intelligence, emphasized that Russia’s goals extend beyond merely reclaiming territory. “For a powerful economic, demographic, territorial, and military presence, Putin needs the entirety of Ukraine,” he stated, warning that the division plan could materialize as soon as 2026.
Broader Geopolitical Implications
The alleged document doesn’t stop at Ukraine. It outlines four global scenarios for Russia’s geopolitical future:
- Favorable Scenarios for Russia:
- A multipolar world with major powers dividing spheres of influence.
- Regional chaos and fragmentation, allowing Moscow to expand its control.
- Unfavorable Scenarios for Russia:
- U.S. and Western dominance, leading to continued isolation of Russia.
- China’s emergence as the leading global power, overshadowing Russian ambitions.
In all scenarios, Ukraine remains a central battleground for Moscow’s vision of its place in a shifting global order.
Western Allies and Shifting Dynamics
The revelations come at a time of uncertainty regarding continued Western support for Ukraine. As Donald Trump prepares to re-enter the White House, his stance against prolonged military aid to Kyiv raises questions about NATO’s future cohesion. Ukrainian intelligence warned that Moscow could attempt to exploit this shift in U.S. policy to push its agenda.
Conclusion:
The uncovered Russian plan paints a grim picture of the Kremlin’s intentions, with Ukraine’s sovereignty hanging in the balance. While Ukrainian intelligence stresses that such strategies are subject to change based on global reactions and battlefield realities, the document underscores Russia’s long-term ambition to reshape not just Ukraine but the entire geopolitical landscape.
As the conflict grinds on, the world’s response will determine whether Ukraine remains a united, independent state—or falls victim to the Kremlin’s divisive vision.